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  1. Thread: CAS 3L or SOA MLC

    by R_T
    Replies
    4
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    10,215

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  2. Thread: CAS 3L or SOA MLC

    by R_T
    Replies
    4
    Views
    10,215

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  3. Thread: am I right?

    by R_T
    Replies
    5
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    2,569

    You are essentially being asked to compute the...

    You are essentially being asked to compute the conditonal probability that person was not a drunk driver given that the accident was not fatal.
  4. Thread: am I right?

    by R_T
    Replies
    5
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    2,569

    Actually, I think Kenneth is right. Here is...

    Actually, I think Kenneth is right. Here is another way to look at it. 1000 people were involved in accidents 10 were fatalities, 6 of them attributed
    to to nondrunk drivers. A total 0f 800 -6 = 794...
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    12,633

    Actually, it's ex:n + .5(1-nPx).

    Actually, it's ex:n + .5(1-nPx).
  6. Replies
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    6,715

    You're very welcome. Good Luck with The Exam.

    You're very welcome. Good Luck with The Exam.
  7. Replies
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    2,498

    Since 6 is even it must occur on or after the...

    Since 6 is even it must occur on or after the fifth toss. In the former case we have E[X given Y= 5]Pr[X=5 and Y=5]/Pr[Y=5] =5(1/3) =(16/3)
    In the latter case, we have E[X given X>5 and Y=5]Pr[X>5...
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    2,498

    I wrote up two different solutions for this...

    I wrote up two different solutions for this similar problem myself. Just keep in mind that 6 is even. You have to take that into consideration when you compute probabilities. If you are still having...
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  10. Replies
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    Alternate Solution

    You are missing the fact that once you are told that the second toss resulted
    in a 6, the expected number of tosses required to obtain your first 5 changes.

    What makes you think X and Y are...
  11. Replies
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    32,422

    Sounds like a plan. Good Luck

    Sounds like a plan.
    Good Luck
  12. Thread: study manual 2009

    by R_T
    Replies
    2
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    1,616

    Dr. Broverman is very good.

    Dr. Broverman is very good.
  13. Replies
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    I'm sorry to hear that. I hope your decision...

    I'm sorry to hear that. I hope your decision wasn't based strictly on your experience on this forum.Best Regards & Good Luck
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    I am pleased to hear that you are interested in...

    I am pleased to hear that you are interested in making the switch.
  16. Replies
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    47,141

    Thank You. I appreciate your efforts. Are you...

    Thank You. I appreciate your efforts. Are you planning a study guide for CAS Exam 6? Loss-Reserve Estimation for P&C actuaries is of particular interest to me
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    32,422

    I guess we both do.

    I guess we both do.
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  20. Replies
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  21. Replies
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    32,422

    More like inability to read between the lines in...

    More like inability to read between the lines in your case.
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  23. Replies
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    Isn't being a prospective actuary all about...

    Isn't being a prospective actuary all about making predictions?
    Studying stuff like stochastic calculus and martingales and working
    in a wall street type of environment 70-80 hours a week doesn't...
  24. Replies
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    10,722

    Most high school (and some college) students...

    Most high school (and some college) students can't even handle calc 1.
    Moreover, most high school teachers aren't even qualified to teach real analysis! What country are you living in?
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