Hello,
I am an economist interested in studying adverse selection in health insurance markets. I would like to pose a question to anyone with actuarial experience in these markets.
To an outsider (that is, a non-actuary) looking at these markets, it appears that premiums for individuals are determined without using all the available information on health status. For example, Medigap premiums might depend on age and sex but not on whether an individual has a chronic health condition.
This seems puzzling (to this naive economist) since insurance companies could increase profits by refining their premium structure.
My questions are:
1. How much information about individual health status do health insurance companies use to set premiums?
2. If they are ignoring some potentially relevant information, why?
I am particularly interested in the market for Medigap insurance and the non-group market for non-elderly individuals, although I also welcome observations on what characteristics of employer pools are used to determine group premiums.
I very much appreciate any thoughts people have to offer on this topic!
Many thanks,
Helen Levy
University of Michigan
hlevy@umich.edu